Democrats Maintain Murtha’s Seat

CNN is projecting that Democrat Mark Critz has defeated Republican Tim Burns in the battle to replace John Murtha, and the returns thus far suggest it will be a comfortable win. Early indications are that the competitive Democratic Senate primary between Joe Sestak and Arlen Specter (and the lack of a competitive primary on the Republican side) boosted Democratic turnout to Critz’s benefit. But still, this represents the third straight Republican loss in a House special election, and it comes in the exact type of swing district that Republicans need to win if they are going to take over the House in November. Expect this result to trigger a “Are Republicans Overconfident?” narrative among the political class.